A study of trend following BTC using simple moving averages

An Epic Run

Bitcoin started 2017 at a price of 963. Today, 4 and a half years later, it is at 31,800, a gain of 33x. To put this in perspective, Amazon went from 757 to 3573 during that same period, about a 5x gain. There is simply no doubt that Bitcoin has been the top performing asset class of the last decade.

But with this extreme performance, comes extreme volatility. Amazon stock went down 30% from its peak in 2018, but overall the ride was a smooth ascent. …

A step by step guide

If you are following NFTs, you might be aware that the Proton Blockchain (which I helped start) is rolling out arguably the best NFT platform on Planet Earth.

This thing is moving very quickly, and is being driven by a community telegram group which we would love to have you join. In this group, the great Syed Jafri has built a telegram bot that interacts with NFTs allowing you to upload, tip, and download your NFTs.

Here’s how it works, step by step.

Step 1: Beg for an NFT

The first step, since you obviously don’t have any NFTs is to…

“Show me the incentive, and I will show you the outcome.” — Charlie Munger

One of the most powerful forces in the world is incentives; as Charlie Munger (Warren Buffet’s partner) famously observed. In the world of marketing, incentive programs, otherwise known as “affiliate programs”, rule.

How can we align these incentives in the world of blockchain? I would like to propose to the Proton community, token holders and specifically block producers, a framework to think about this problem.

Note: this is my personal proposal as a token holder of Proton, not an official proposal by Metal

Usage drives value

The first thing…

Right now, the NFT world is really all about curated, programmed “drops” and “packs”. To use an analogy, it’s like HBO — there are hit shows, that everybody lines up to consume.

This is fine. I love great shows like “Silicon Valley” or “Succession”. But this is a few-to-many model. It’s very different from what YouTube did on Dec 15, 2005 — which pioneered a way that EVERYBODY could upload and share videos.

In my opinion, the real breakthrough will be when EVERYBODY can easily create and sell NFTs. Can you do that on Ethereum? No. It’s not easy and…

An open source demonstration of Atomic NFTs + Proton

I’m proud to say that the first open source demo of our NFT platform is now live. Just to set expectations: this doesn’t yet have an NFT creator, and the prices are set in FOOBAR (our free token). The full market is coming in the next few weeks.


So what are the components to this?


First of all there is the ability to login and authenticate with our mobile proton wallet. You do this by grabbing your wallet at https://www.protonchain.com/wallet and creating your unique username. This is a name like…

The following contract is now live on Proton MainNet

Longstaking is a new concept that we are considering for the Proton Blockchain, which could have significant benefits for longer term token holders. We’ve fleshed out the contract mechanics, and a potential user interface within Bloks.io, and we’re opening it up to the community for comment and suggestions. It would need to be voted in by 15/21 Block Producers to be entered into the chain.

The proposal: reward long term holders with a defined minimum performance vs Bitcoin.

In Delegated Proof of Stake systems such as Proton (but equivalently on Tezos, Cosmos and EOS), selection of block producers and hence security of the chain…

The Proton Blockchain is built on a delegated Proof of Stake model. What this means is that each Proton token holder can vote with their tokens, and in exchange for their vote, they receive inflation rewards (and other rewards) that are sent to the Staking Pool. Essentially the Proton token holders control the protocol, and they benefit if and when the Protocol gains adoption.

Let’s dive in deeper

As this screenshot shows, you can stake your Proton coins directly in the IOS Proton wallet. You can download the wallet here. When you stake your coins, they are essentially “locked” for…

The first open source, proof of concept demo of voting on the blockchain

We’ve built a fully working, open source demo of a presidential election running on the Proton Blockchain. You can try the demo here

Here’s how the voting works:

1. First step, you log in with your blockchain authenticated ID. In Proton, this is an @name, similar to a Twitter @name. Mine is @fred. Each @name has a public and private key pair associated with it. This key pair is created and stored on your mobile wallet. You can download one here.

2. Second step, you need to…

First we had the “Dollar Milkshake” theory, and now @Raoul Pal brings us the “Bitcoin Lifeboat” theory. Let’s unpack!.

1. Let’s start with the realization that Central Bank Digital Currencies are coming. It’s no longer a question of if, but a question of when. Raoul predicts 5 years. I am going to say 10, at least here in the US, as I think the Fed will take a measured approach. But CBDC is coming.

2. Now, how does this impact investments? Well as Raoul points, out, once you have a digital currency, where actual individuals have wallets that can accept…

Let’s first note that although there are plenty of DAO voting apps, including voting for block producers on Proton, EOS and other chains, this DOES NOT solve the problem, as all votes are public.

So let’s set down the requirements for blockchain voting

1. Voting needs to be limited to a set of QUALIFIED voters for each vote. For example, I should be able to vote in California, but not Texas.

2. Identity of voters needs to confirmed in the process. …

Fred Krueger

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store